 &MODEL
 NOPT    =           1,
 NLIST   =           0,
 NSTEP   =       20000,
 EPSI    =  1.000000000000000E-007,
 WGHT    =   1.00000000000000     ,
 NVAX    =          33,
 NALT    =           3,
 NDV     =           3,
 NSV     =           1,           7,           6, 7*0,
 NGV     =           4,
 IBETA   =           1,
 NCON    =           0,
 NSIGMA  =           0,
 NLAM    =           4,
 NPRINT  =           0,
 NELAST  =           1,
 NMRS    =           1,
 NRES    =           0,
 NCOR    =           0,
 NSCALE  =           1,
 NREAD   =         286,
 NPRED   =           0,
 NUMVT   =           3,
 NAMEVT  = BC4       ,
 NAMEDEP = S(i)      
 /




LOGIT            


 alternative  matrix of independent variables

 AIR          1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  32  33  12  15

 RAIL         0   1  17  19  20  21  22  23   0   0   0   0   0   0  30  31   7  10

 CAR          0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  17  19  20  21  22  23  28  29   2   0


 parameter associated with each column above

 beta         1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18

 lambda       0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   3   4


 box-cox transformations

 lambda   type    initial value

   1    estimated     1.000

   2    estimated     1.000

   3    estimated     1.000

   4    estimated     1.000




 no. variable     type      minimum        mean       maximum     std-error   null obs.  scal.factor

 alternative : AIR       

 observed share :
   1  AIR                 0.10182D-01  0.11067D+00  0.77350D+00  0.13487D+00       0     0.10000D+01
 independent variables :
   1  CONSTANT            0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.00000D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  32  PRICE-A   network   0.96379D+00  0.12609D+01  0.20952D+01  0.25390D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  33  SPEED-A   network   0.11970D+01  0.19196D+01  0.32697D+01  0.43648D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  12  DIST-A    network   0.20706D+03  0.52761D+03  0.97281D+03  0.17203D+03       0     0.10000D-02
  15  FREQ-A    network   0.10000D+01  0.37633D+02  0.10300D+03  0.29202D+02       0     0.10000D-01

 alternative : RAIL      

 observed share :
   2  RAIL                0.10797D-01  0.22279D+00  0.63843D+00  0.18276D+00       0     0.10000D+01
 independent variables :
   1  CONSTANT            0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.00000D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  17  POP0014   soc.eco.  0.11209D+00  0.13325D+00  0.16368D+00  0.98522D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  19  POP5064   soc.eco.  0.14997D+00  0.17201D+00  0.19526D+00  0.91300D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  20  POPMALE   soc.eco.  0.35708D+00  0.47190D+00  0.49078D+00  0.89897D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  21  TOTEMPL   soc.eco.  0.24591D+00  0.39868D+00  0.68230D+00  0.73026D-01       0     0.10000D+01
  22  BUSINESS  soc.eco.  0.20270D-01  0.30074D+00  0.67615D+00  0.12579D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  23  PRIVATE   soc.eco.  0.20040D+00  0.49988D+00  0.77455D+00  0.12203D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  30  PRICE-R   network   0.63543D+00  0.64740D+00  0.66785D+00  0.65634D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  31  SPEED-R   network   0.91183D+00  0.13991D+01  0.17563D+01  0.18727D+00       0     0.10000D+01
   7  DIST-R    network   0.21400D+03  0.51426D+03  0.11370D+04  0.17722D+03       0     0.10000D-02
  10  FREQ-R    network   0.60000D+02  0.71329D+02  0.10000D+03  0.18054D+02       0     0.10000D-01

 alternative : CAR       

 observed share :
   3  CAR                 0.18184D+00  0.66654D+00  0.97521D+00  0.21477D+00       0     0.10000D+01
 independent variables :
  17  POP0014   soc.eco.  0.11209D+00  0.13325D+00  0.16368D+00  0.98522D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  19  POP5064   soc.eco.  0.14997D+00  0.17201D+00  0.19526D+00  0.91300D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  20  POPMALE   soc.eco.  0.35708D+00  0.47190D+00  0.49078D+00  0.89897D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  21  TOTEMPL   soc.eco.  0.24591D+00  0.39868D+00  0.68230D+00  0.73026D-01       0     0.10000D+01
  22  BUSINESS  soc.eco.  0.20270D-01  0.30074D+00  0.67615D+00  0.12579D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  23  PRIVATE   soc.eco.  0.20040D+00  0.49988D+00  0.77455D+00  0.12203D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  28  PRICE-C   network   0.67333D+00  0.67348D+00  0.67366D+00  0.61504D-04       0     0.10000D+01
  29  SPEED-C   network   0.12569D+01  0.15375D+01  0.16819D+01  0.83423D-01       0     0.10000D+01
   2  DIST-C    network   0.19200D+03  0.45669D+03  0.94700D+03  0.15401D+03       0     0.10000D-02



 number of observations per alternative :

 - read                     286

 - dropped                    0

 - used in estimation       286

 - used in simulation         0

 number of observations available
 for estimation in each alternative :

  1= 286  2= 286  3= 286



 No constraints on the elements of SIGMA.
 All the elements are estimated.




initialization cards for control routine follow - -  id card - no. parameters , no. steps , step size 
minimization tolerance - starting values of parameters - relative uncertainties of parameters (error estimates) -  
and starting direction  (relative parameter increments for 1st step)
identification line
        22     20000   0.1D+01   0.1D-06
  0.20162D+02 -0.48733D+00 -0.43482D+02  0.55869D+02  0.37350D+02  0.32465D+01 -0.65178D+01 -0.65772D+00  0.11781D+02  0.59766D+02
  0.19228D+02  0.48350D+00 -0.47989D+01  0.27481D+01 -0.18229D+01  0.55640D+00 -0.16123D+01  0.79441D+00  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01
  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01
  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01
  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01
  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01
  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00
  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00
  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00

first entry to fcn , parameters of current step follow - - f,x(i)
   0.7101993872D+03  0.20162D+02 -0.48733D+00 -0.43482D+02  0.55869D+02  0.37350D+02  0.32465D+01 -0.65178D+01 -0.65772D+00
                     0.11781D+02  0.59766D+02  0.19228D+02  0.48350D+00 -0.47989D+01  0.27481D+01 -0.18229D+01  0.55640D+00
                    -0.16123D+01  0.79441D+00  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01


the function (fcn) has not improved by    0.10000D-06 after 3 steps which include a minimum - - -


therefore the run has been terminated
   0.6839021692D+03  0.19686D+02 -0.24528D+01 -0.34055D+02  0.36607D+02  0.33841D+02  0.34169D+01 -0.69851D+01  0.97984D-01
                     0.14022D+02  0.40587D+02  0.15792D+02  0.92078D+00 -0.55524D+01  0.21458D+01 -0.67917D+01  0.76750D-02
                    -0.11441D+01  0.29366D+01 -0.21997D+01  0.63875D+01 -0.15480D+00  0.39384D+01


the lowest value of the function (fcn) was   0.6839021692D+03 for entry  207 - - x(i) follows
  0.19686D+02 -0.24528D+01 -0.34055D+02  0.36607D+02  0.33841D+02  0.34169D+01 -0.69851D+01  0.97984D-01  0.14022D+02  0.40587D+02
  0.15792D+02  0.92078D+00 -0.55524D+01  0.21458D+01 -0.67917D+01  0.76750D-02 -0.11441D+01  0.29366D+01 -0.21997D+01  0.63875D+01
 -0.15480D+00  0.39384D+01



run statistics follow - -

 nfcn=  207 nst=   77




LOGIT            


 variable  type lambda    parameter      std.error          t-stat     gradient


 alternative  1 : AIR       

 CONSTANT  spec   0    0.1894067D+02  0.3511467D+01         5.3939  0.1385343D-06
                                      0.3274274D+01         5.7847

 PRICE-A   gene   1   -0.6791662D+01  0.1335014D+01        -5.0873  0.1146697D-06
                                      0.9716039D+00        -6.9902

 SPEED-A   gene   2    0.7674955D-02  0.1691412D-01         0.4538  0.3687423D-05
                                      0.1543192D-02         4.9734

 DIST-A    gene   3   -0.3333239D+01  0.1229202D+02        -0.2712  0.1566618D-07
                                      0.7682375D+00        -4.3388

 FREQ-A    gene   4    0.3900661D-07  0.5153578D-06         0.0757  0.1331709D+00
                                      0.5579526D-08         6.9910


 alternative  2 : RAIL      

 CONSTANT  spec   0   -0.3198446D+01  0.3443756D+01        -0.9288 -0.4882752D-07
                                      0.3389805D+01        -0.9435

 POP0014   spec   0   -0.3405473D+02  0.9627125D+01        -3.5374 -0.6042331D-08
                                      0.8881344D+01        -3.8344

 POP5064   spec   0    0.3660705D+02  0.9568675D+01         3.8257 -0.8943631D-08
                                      0.8989446D+01         4.0722

 POPMALE   spec   0    0.3384066D+02  0.7366053D+01         4.5941 -0.2351795D-07
                                      0.7283834D+01         4.6460

 TOTEMPL   spec   0    0.3416916D+01  0.1224685D+01         2.7900 -0.1566224D-07
                                      0.1191638D+01         2.8674

 BUSINESS  spec   0   -0.6985077D+01  0.6509089D+00       -10.7313 -0.1002841D-07
                                      0.6362296D+00       -10.9789

 PRIVATE   spec   0    0.9798351D-01  0.7282171D+00         0.1346 -0.2975818D-07
                                      0.6174726D+00         0.1587

 PRICE-R   gene   1   -0.6791662D+01  0.1335014D+01        -5.0873  0.1146697D-06
                                      0.9716039D+00        -6.9902

 SPEED-R   gene   2    0.7674955D-02  0.1691412D-01         0.4538  0.3687423D-05
                                      0.1543192D-02         4.9734

 DIST-R    gene   3   -0.3333239D+01  0.1229202D+02        -0.2712  0.1566618D-07
                                      0.7682375D+00        -4.3388

 FREQ-R    gene   4    0.3900661D-07  0.5153578D-06         0.0757  0.1331709D+00
                                      0.5579526D-08         6.9910


 alternative  3 : CAR       

 POP0014   spec   0    0.1402178D+02  0.7485892D+01         1.8731 -0.1273150D-07
                                      0.7126558D+01         1.9675

 POP5064   spec   0    0.4058738D+02  0.7632699D+01         5.3176 -0.1467374D-07
                                      0.6924871D+01         5.8611

 POPMALE   spec   0    0.1579162D+02  0.5765763D+01         2.7389 -0.4283161D-07
                                      0.5655511D+01         2.7923

 TOTEMPL   spec   0    0.9207806D+00  0.9552854D+00         0.9639 -0.3902342D-07
                                      0.9250400D+00         0.9954

 BUSINESS  spec   0   -0.5552439D+01  0.5314204D+00       -10.4483 -0.1985999D-07
                                      0.5168174D+00       -10.7435

 PRIVATE   spec   0    0.2145808D+01  0.5942588D+00         3.6109 -0.4631384D-07
                                      0.5826248D+00         3.6830

 PRICE-C   gene   1   -0.6791662D+01  0.1335014D+01        -5.0873  0.1146697D-06
                                      0.9716039D+00        -6.9902

 SPEED-C   gene   2    0.7674955D-02  0.1691412D-01         0.4538  0.3687423D-05
                                      0.1543192D-02         4.9734

 DIST-C    gene   3   -0.3333239D+01  0.1229202D+02        -0.2712  0.1566618D-07
                                      0.7682375D+00        -4.3388


 box-cox transformations


 lambda 1   estimated -0.2199718D+01  0.5368803D+00        -4.0972  0.1298962D-06
                                                           -5.9598

 lambda 2   estimated  0.6387511D+01  0.2221073D+01         2.8759  0.2420850D-07
                                                            2.4256

 lambda 3   estimated -0.1548010D+00  0.6109958D+00        -0.2534 -0.3158277D-06
                                                           -1.8900

 lambda 4   estimated  0.3938354D+01  0.2999981D+01         1.3128  0.2084320D-07
                                                            0.9795




 log likelihood at convergence =    -683.9022

 mean share  observed  estimated  rho-squared

   AIR       0.1107    0.0975     0.6775

   RAIL      0.2228    0.2003     0.5317

   CAR       0.6665    0.7022     0.6376

   overall                        0.6088

 number of observations =     286

 number of alternatives =       3

 number of parameters   =      22




at the sample means of x :

   -elasticity

   -change in S(i) relative to percent change in x(j,k)

   -derivative of S(i) with respect to x(j,k)

 ====================================================

 share of :              AIR       RAIL      CAR       

 ====================================================

 AIR         CONSTANT  0.185D+02 -0.360D+01 -0.399D+00
                         0.9223   -0.6106   -0.3117
                         0.9223   -0.6106   -0.3117

             PRICE-A  -0.388D+01  0.203D+00  0.203D+00
                        -0.1928    0.0344    0.1583
                        -0.1529    0.0273    0.1256

             SPEED-A   0.470D+00 -0.246D-01 -0.246D-01
                         0.0234   -0.0042   -0.0192
                         0.0122   -0.0022   -0.0100

             DIST-A   -0.120D+01  0.628D-01  0.628D-01
                        -0.0597    0.0107    0.0490
                        -0.0001    0.0000    0.0001

             FREQ-A    0.594D-01 -0.311D-02 -0.311D-02
                         0.0030   -0.0005   -0.0024
                         0.0001    0.0000   -0.0001

 ----------------------------------------------------

 RAIL        CONSTANT  0.185D+02 -0.360D+01 -0.399D+00
                         0.9223   -0.6106   -0.3117
                         0.9223   -0.6106   -0.3117

             POP0014  -0.688D+00 -0.523D+01  0.118D+01
                        -0.0342   -0.8869    0.9211
                        -0.2569   -6.6562    6.9131

             POP5064  -0.652D+01 -0.221D+00  0.463D+00
                        -0.3242   -0.0375    0.3618
                        -1.8849   -0.2182    2.1031

             POPMALE  -0.853D+01  0.744D+01 -0.107D+01
                        -0.4242    1.2631   -0.8390
                        -0.8988    2.6766   -1.7778

             TOTEMPL  -0.518D+00  0.845D+00 -0.151D+00
                        -0.0258    0.1433   -0.1176
                        -0.0646    0.3595   -0.2949

             BUSINESS  0.166D+01 -0.441D+00 -0.994D-02
                         0.0826   -0.0748   -0.0078
                         0.2745   -0.2488   -0.0258

             PRIVATE  -0.846D+00 -0.797D+00  0.227D+00
                        -0.0421   -0.1352    0.1773
                        -0.0841   -0.2704    0.3546

             PRICE-R   0.300D+01 -0.147D+02  0.300D+01
                         0.1492   -2.4905    2.3413
                         0.2305   -3.8469    3.6164

             SPEED-R  -0.111D-01  0.544D-01 -0.111D-01
                        -0.0006    0.0092   -0.0087
                        -0.0004    0.0066   -0.0062

             DIST-R    0.215D+00 -0.105D+01  0.215D+00
                         0.0107   -0.1787    0.1680
                         0.0000   -0.0003    0.0003

             FREQ-R   -0.132D+00  0.644D+00 -0.132D+00
                        -0.0066    0.1094   -0.1028
                        -0.0001    0.0015   -0.0014

 ----------------------------------------------------

 CAR         POP0014  -0.688D+00 -0.523D+01  0.118D+01
                        -0.0342   -0.8869    0.9211
                        -0.2569   -6.6562    6.9131

             POP5064  -0.652D+01 -0.221D+00  0.463D+00
                        -0.3242   -0.0375    0.3618
                        -1.8849   -0.2182    2.1031

             POPMALE  -0.853D+01  0.744D+01 -0.107D+01
                        -0.4242    1.2631   -0.8390
                        -0.8988    2.6766   -1.7778

             TOTEMPL  -0.518D+00  0.845D+00 -0.151D+00
                        -0.0258    0.1433   -0.1176
                        -0.0646    0.3595   -0.2949

             BUSINESS  0.166D+01 -0.441D+00 -0.994D-02
                         0.0826   -0.0748   -0.0078
                         0.2745   -0.2488   -0.0258

             PRIVATE  -0.846D+00 -0.797D+00  0.227D+00
                        -0.0421   -0.1352    0.1773
                        -0.0841   -0.2704    0.3546

             PRICE-C   0.126D+02  0.126D+02 -0.356D+01
                         0.6291    2.1465   -2.7756
                         0.9341    3.1871   -4.1213

             SPEED-C  -0.935D-01 -0.935D-01  0.263D-01
                        -0.0047   -0.0159    0.0205
                        -0.0030   -0.0103    0.0133

             DIST-C    0.101D+01  0.101D+01 -0.283D+00
                         0.0502    0.1711   -0.2213
                         0.0001    0.0004   -0.0005

 ----------------------------------------------------




marginal rate of substitution of cost(i) for variables  x(i,k) :

   -at the sample means of x

 ==============================================================================================================================

 alternative   cost           variable

 ==============================================================================================================================

 AIR           PRICE-A        CONSTANT  SPEED-A   DIST-A    FREQ-A    

                             -6.0329   -0.0796    0.0007   -0.0005

 RAIL          PRICE-R        CONSTANT  POP0014   POP5064   POPMALE   TOTEMPL   BUSINESS  PRIVATE   SPEED-R   DIST-R    FREQ-R    

                              0.1587    1.7303    0.0567   -0.6958   -0.0935    0.0647    0.0703   -0.0017    0.0001   -0.0004

 CAR           PRICE-C        POP0014   POP5064   POPMALE   TOTEMPL   BUSINESS  PRIVATE   SPEED-C   DIST-C    

                             -1.6774   -0.5103    0.4314    0.0716    0.0063   -0.0860   -0.0032    0.0001

 ==============================================================================================================================


CPU TIME:      2.22 sec
